Why ‘Inception’ Will Win Best Picture

By  · Published on July 13th, 2010

It’s admittedly a bit premature to start tagging Oscar winners, but Inception stands up and demands this sort of analysis. Christopher Nolan’s forthcoming film has been hailed as the most anticipated of the Summer (and maybe of the year), and it fulfills every promise that it makes. Beyond the film itself, there are several other factors that might come together as a perfect storm that will clear a path toward the podium for Nolan and company.

Inception will win Best Picture next year. Here’s why.

The Film

The heaviest contributor to its chances is the movie itself – made with a quality that should be celebrated and recognized. Of course it’s large and beautiful and engaging, but it’s also the brand of Action With an Imagination that will appeal to general audiences and the sometimes-stuffy Awards-mongers alike.

It’s proof that you can think and chew popcorn at the same time.

In addition to being a better film than The Dark Knight, it’s also more traditionally Oscar-worthy while still being cutting edge. Theoretically, TDK was choked out of the running because it was “just a Superhero movie,” but there’s no similar sentiment here. It’s a classic-style hero’s journey featuring five Oscar nominees and two Oscar winners in front of the camera. Behind it, Nolan and Wally Pfister are both former nominees and composer Hans Zimmer won an Oscar for The Lion King back in 1995.

In short, the pedigree here is overwhelming, and the talent is all utilized to its fullest.

The Legacy Argument

Christopher Nolan is not Martin Scorsese. Still, there’s a lingering sentiment that he was unfairly snubbed for The Dark Knight. That feeling is so palpable that the Academy expanded the field to ten Best Picture nominees last year as a result. There’s no doubt that he’ll be nominated as Best Director, but the film could also benefit from the shortest legacy in history. It may seem absurd, but it’s certainly not out of the question – especially considering that his work has had a direct impact on how the awards are now done.

Plus, it would be a legacy win that voters could feel confident about instead of having to explain away with, you know, the legacy argument.

The Competition

This year has been sadly devoid of good films. The unbearable dearth of quality has plagued theaters for six months. Thus, there’s really no reason to even look backward in time for competition (except for Toy Story 3), so let’s look ahead at some possible contenders.

Not counting the obviously-going-to-be-robbed Wild Things 4, that’s nine films right there that very well could end up being the finalists alongside Inception.

It’s impossible to know the quality of movies that haven’t hit screens yet, but it hasn’t been a strong year so far, and it doesn’t look like things will get much better. That’s tough for fans, but it only reinforces the strong chances for Inception to march its way up to the dais to Hans Zimmer’s booming, Edith-Piaf laden score.

With the mind-blowing strength of the film, a possible legacy consideration to make up for The Dark Knight, and a field of more chaff than wheat, audiences will get a chance to see the Best Picture winner for 2010 roll into theaters this weekend.

I also looked at some tarot cards and called Cleo about this.

Related Topics: ,

Movie stuff at VanityFair, Thrillist, IndieWire, Film School Rejects, and The Broken Projector [email protected] | Writing short stories at Adventitious.