Reject Update: 30 Days of Night Takes a Bite Out of First Place

I predicted it would be a Comeback Week for predictions at The Reject Report, and guess what? The number one movie of the week, 30 Days of Night, I nailed bang-on. The number two movie, Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married, I also nailed bang on. So it was a great week predicting the top movies. There's just one problem: I got everything else wrong. Again.

Well, I predicted it would be a Comeback Week for predictions at The Reject Report, and guess what? The number one movie of the week, 30 Days of Night, I nailed bang-on. The number two movie, Tyler Perry’s Why Did I Get Married, I also nailed bang on. So it was a great week predicting the top movies. There’s just one problem: I got everything else wrong. Again.

I dunno what it is about The Rock, or about movie audiences, but The Game Plan finished third in another good week for them. I don’t get the appeal of that movie, I really don’t. It makes no sense that a movie like this does well while really good movies like Michael Clayton or Gone Baby Gone finish in the middle of the pack. It’s not as if The Game Plan is so great. It ain’t winning an Oscar.

Neither, for that matter, is The Comebacks. I will say, though, that I was very happy about what happened to this flick. I had picked $10 million dollars for this lousy piece of junk, but it didn’t come close to that. In fact, it finished SIXTH at $5.8 mil, proving that audiences are smarter than we think. Or maybe they are wising up.

I noticed the reissue of Tim Burton’s The Nightmare Before Christmas in Disney Digital 3-D made the top ten. That was interesting.

As for Rendition, I had originally ranted that this movie would do no better than $8 mil. Then I turned chicken at the very last minute and changed my final prediction to $9 million, because it seemed all the rest of these prognosticators were picking this flick to at least hit $10 mil. What I really should have done was put in a prediction of $4.1 mil, because that’s what this flop got. So much for my ability to peer into a crystal ball.

Here are the damages from this weekend from the folks over at Box Office Mojo.

Release Studio Predicted Gross
30 Days of Night Sony $16,000,000
Tyler Perry’s Why Did I Get Married? Lionsgate $12,100,000
The Game Plan Buena Vista $8,122,000
Michael Clayton Warner Bros. $7,100,000
Gone Baby Gone Miramax $6,000,000
The Comebacks Fox Atomic $5,850,000
We Own the Night Sony $5,500,000
Tim Burton’s The Nightmare Before Christmas in Disney Digital 3D Disney $5,145,000
Rendition New Line $4,175,000
The Heartbreak Kid Paramount / Dreamworks $3,900,000

Why are the box offices still so crummy? Well, I gotta say I agree with the two Fat Guys at the Movies, who were moaning on their recent ‘cast about how sick they are of these weepy awards-season movies littering the cinemas. They ranted about how unexcited they were about what’s out there right now. They’re right!

It’s pretty clear that everyone is just sitting around and waiting for May to show up so we can all go see Indiana Jones again. I agree completely with these guys. I think it’s pretty obvious that the movies being served up right now are just not the type of movies people race to the movie houses to see. Who wants to go watch a movie that makes you miserable or angry? Me neither.

See you later this week for what I hope will be a more cheerful week of predictions at The Reject Report.