Argo

The Producers Guild of America just awarded Ben Affleck‘s Argo with two honors. The first is their award for Best Theatrical Motion Picture, and the second is the statistical advantage of winning the Academy Award for the same prize.

Since 1989, the PGA and the Oscars have only disagreed 7 times when it comes to Best Picture, and they’ve picked the same winner for the past 6 years straight.

It’s not a certainty, of course (and Daniel has made strong cases for Life of Pi and Amour), but it’s a 70% historical chance that Affleck’s movie about a fake CIA movie might win big on February 24th.

Now, just for fun, here are the 7 times that the PGA and the Oscars didn’t pick the same flick to win:

The Academy pick is first followed by the PGA’s:

  • 1992 – Unforgiven / The Crying Game
  • 1995 – BraveheartApollo 13
  • 1998 – Shakespeare in Love / Saving Private Ryan
  • 2001 – A Beautiful Mind / Moulin Rouge!
  • 2004 – Million Dollar Baby / The Aviator
  • 2005 – Crash / Brokeback Mountain
  • 2006 – The Departed / Little Miss Sunshine

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