Welcome to another Reject Report coming fast and furiously your way! This weekend we have two new contenders for the box office crown rolling out in theaters, Adventureland and Fast and Furious. Back again for more is the holdover Monsters vs. Aliens, and the big question has to be whether this flick can hold on to first place for a second weekend in a row.
The way I see it, Monsters vs. Aliens should see a drop to around $32 or $33 million dollars this weekend. (In the spirit of compromise I’m going to predict $32.5 million.) So in order to win the box office this weekend, one of these new movies is going to have to find a way to beat Monsters vs. Aliens. It won’t be easy by any means.
Anyway, I’m a little bit distracted because I am both writing this and watching the final episode of ER at the same time. I imagine there will be plenty of distracted people on Saturday watching the Final Four, so expect that to have an impact at the box office, too. I’ll begin by looking at Adventureland.
Adventureland is written and directed by Greg Mottola, who also directed the modern-day classic Superbad. Like Superbad, this one is set in the Eighties and stars Jesse Eisenberg as this stoner dude who works in an amusement park along with all the other weirdos, and he meets and hangs around with Kristen Stewart (of Twilight fame). Somewhat unsurprisingly Bill Hader (one of the Superbad cops) is back for this movie, too.
Anyway, I don’t see Superbad-type numbers, because this one is in under 2,000 theaters. I am picking $14 million for Adventureland.
Next up is Fast and Furious, which is the umpteenth sequel as part of the Fast and the Furious series of movies. The last time, these guys were in Japan and opened at only $23 million. The previous one opened at $50 million and the original from 2001 opened at $40 million. Pretty impressive numbers. The question, though, is whether people are completely fed up with the road-racing series and the revved-up cars, or not. The selling point for this latest sequel is the much-ballyhooed re-teaming of Vin Diesel and Paul Walker, and takes place in the time between the second and third sequels.
Now, this one is in roughly 3,500 theaters. Ordinarily I wouldn’t think this would do the type of business the previous movies had done — but it’s been a big year at the box office so far. Moreover, it’s Vin Diesel back, it’s Paul Walker back. And I think the public is ready for some mindless entertainment. Which is why I think Fast and Furious will win the weekend box office with a haul of $42 million.
Then again, I’ve been wrong before. We’ll see if I can extend the winning streak from last week, when I predicted the box office haul for the winning movie almost bang-on. For a change!
Oh, and Sunshine Cleaning makes it to the Top Ten thanks to expansion into 479 theaters. The predicted damages:
- Fast and Furious $42 million
- Monsters vs. Aliens 32.5 million
- Adventureland $14 million
- The Haunting in Connecticut $11 million
- Knowing $8.7 million
- I Love You, Man $8.5 million
- Duplicity $5 million
- Race to Witch Mountain $3.5 million
- Sunshine Cleaning $3.2 million
- 12 Rounds $2.6 million
That is it for now — see you at the end of the weekend for the weekend results here at the Reject Report.