The Reject ReportI know. I know. The Green Reject Report? That’s the best you can come up with? It’s not like it’s a title we might not use every again. When Green Zone hit last year, it opened against a few other notable titles that took the headline (This Week’s Reject Report Is Out Of My League).

With Green Lantern hitting this coming June, another opportunity to use this week’s title might present itself. But we don’t think about the future. We cross those bridges when we come to them. So, while we’re eating our red meat and smoking our cigarettes, we’ll just do with The Green Reject Report for this week. Onto the movies.

BIG HITTERS

The biggest hitter this weekend is a film that might seem out of place here in the doldrums of the January graveyard. The Green Hornet is a superhero action movie. It stars Seth Rogen. It’s directed by a notable director, Michel Gondry. It’s *gasp* getting fairly favorable reviews. So why was it dumped here? Well, that little tidbit of information is between Columbia Pictures and Columbia Pictures, but you can read into whatever you like. Nonetheless, it’s a January release that feels like a Summer blockbuster, so how will it favor?

When you have a film this high profile, you have to start looking at the month’s record books. As it stands, Cloverfield hold the highest opening in January history with $40 million. Looking at the list of January openings, you won’t exactly find any superhero blockbusters with A-list talent leading the cast. Could The Green Hornet beat that $40-million record? Of course it could. Will it? Not likely. The sheer fact that it’s being released in January, a time when tickets sales are dropping off and people are catching up on Oscar fodder, shows that its potentially sizable opening will be whittled down a bit. Also factor in the fact that Rogen, outside of the animated films, has Superbad’s $33 million as a high jump mark. The Green Hornet will likely beat that. It could even gas propel itself up to the high $30-millions, but somewhere in the middle seems more likely.

You know, in the trailer, when Rogen blasts himself in the face with that gas gun? That was really funny, right? Not so funny in the actual movie, but laugh again as you check out the trailer for The Green Hornet right here:

And then we have Ron Howard. Ron “Opie Taylor” Howard. Ron “My Movies Are Beloved But I Have No Discernible Style To Call My Own” Howard. He’s got a movie coming out this weekend. It’s called The Dilemma, and it stars Vince Vaughn and Kevin James. You know. The guy who starred in Paul Blart: Mall Cop, which did gangbusters in 2009′s January. Really, Kevin James should get top billing here.

He hasn’t exactly been in many films, but every film he’s starred in has opened to $30 million or more. Expect that chain to be broken with The Dilemma. The buzz hasn’t been generated. The film just doesn’t look that funny. Its opening will be decent, especially for January, but you can rest assured it will be anything but a Paul Blart 2: Segway’s Revenge.

If you’re looking for something funny, remember when Seth Rogen shot himself in the face with a gas gun? If not, check out the trailer for The Dilemma right here:

FAMILIARITIES

The Oscar announcements are still a week and a half away, but it seems a foregone conclusion as to who some of the Best Picture candidates are. Some of those films are getting expansion packs this weekend, and will likely get bumped up a few notches on the box office charts. Notably, Black Swan will be expanding to 2300 screens, The King’s Speech will expand to 1500 screens, and Rabbit Hole will expand to 100 screens. Black Swan and The King’s Speech have already made their respective marks at the box office, and that is sure to continue now.

The rest of the box office will be the leftovers from the holiday meals. Oh, yeah, and Season of the Witch, which is sure to get between a 55 and 60% drop here.

LITTLE OPENERS

Can someone please put Paul Giamatti in a film that opens wide? They did that with Fred Clause? Shoot ‘Em Up did that, too? Never mind, Paul. Stick to the limited releases. This weekend, he’s got Barney’s Version, which shows him having various romantic interludes with Rosamund Pike, Minnie Driver, and Rachelle Lefevre. Not a bad gig if you ask me. Barney’s Version opens in New York and L.A.

Find out the truth of a man’s life story by checking out the trailer for Barney’s Version right here.

Remember when Tony Jaa kneed and elbowed people in the head instead of acted crazy and went off into Monk land? Well, before he lost his mental stability, he nearly killed himself completing the Ong Bak saga. Ong Bak 3 opens in limited release this weekend, and in addition to being a glorified epilogue to Ong Bak 2, it features Jaa cracking skulls, taking names, and then cracking the skulls of the actual names he just took. Do names have skulls? Does it matter? If it lives, Tony Jaa can elbow it in the head. Ong Bak 3 opens in New York and L.A.

Lot of grunting. Lots of fighting. Lots of elephants. Yep, it’s a Tony Jaa movie.

Also opening in limited release are The Heart Specialist opening on more than 400 screens, Every Day opening in New York and L.A., A Somewhat Gentle Man opening at the IFC Center in New York, Plastic Planet opening in select cities, and Twelve Thirty opening in select cities.

Here’s how the top 10 is shaping up this weekend:

  1. The Green Hornet – $34.8m NEW
  2. The Dilemma – $24.2m NEW
  3. True Grit – $8.9m (-38.5%)
  4. Black Swan – $7.5m EXPANDING
  5. Little Fockers – $7.3m (-45%)
  6. The Fighter -$5.4m (-21.9%)
  7. King’s Speech -$5.1m EXPANDING
  8. Tron Legacy -$5.1m (-48.2%)
  9. Yogi Bear -$4.9m (-25%)
  10. Season of the Witch – $4.7m (-55.3%)

Green. Like money. See how that works out? This weekend’s top 10 are looking to pull in $107.9 million, a bit down even for this time of year. The Green Hornet‘s and The Dilemma‘s takes will help it any way it can, but there won’t be much help from the back field. The two leading films this weekend will have to pull their own weight to get this pony across the finish line.

We’ll be back on Sunday night to go over the numbers.

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